Summary
185,000
Permanent Migration Program places 2026–27
245,000 → 225,000
Forecast Net Overseas Migration, 2026–27 to 2027–28
$85.2m
Funding for skills assessment & trade recognition
$270m
Additional Australian Border Force funding in 2026–27
Federal Budget 2026–27 migration changes at a glance
Permanent Migration Program and Net Overseas Migration
The Budget confirms the permanent Migration Program planning level remains at 185,000 places for 2026–27, with the familiar 70% Skilled and 30% Family split. Policy direction continues to favour onshore applicants, which has direct implications for skilled visa strategy and case planning.
| Measure | 2026–27 Setting / Forecast | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Permanent Migration Program total | 185,000 places | Planning level unchanged |
| Skilled stream share | 70% | Broadly consistent with prior years |
| Family stream share | 30% | Broadly consistent with prior years |
| Onshore allocation | 129,590 places | Majority of places reserved for applicants already in Australia |
| Offshore allocation | 55,110 places | Targeted to highly skilled migrants |
| Net Overseas Migration (NOM) | 245,000 (2026–27) | Forecast to fall |
| Net Overseas Migration (NOM) | 225,000 (2027–28) | Further forecast decline |
Onshore vs offshore: who gets the places?
Changes to the skilled migration points test (high-level only)
The Budget announces plans to optimise the permanent migration Points Test to select migrants who are more highly educated, higher skilled, younger, and more likely to contribute to productivity and long‑term economic growth. At present, almost two‑thirds of permanent skilled migrants are selected through points‑tested visas such as SC 189 and SC 190.
- No detailed legislative or policy changes to the points test are released yet.
- The Government flags that future reforms **may** affect age points, English language points, educational qualifications, Australian study, work experience, and priority occupations.
- These are potential areas only – the Budget text does not specify new point values or thresholds.
Points test reforms: data incomplete
Skills assessments, trades recognition and credit recognition
A major skills initiative is $85.2 million to modernise skills assessments and trade recognition, with the Government estimating this could help facilitate an additional 4,000 skilled trades workers per year into the workforce. ImmiIQ data users tracking trades occupations may find this particularly relevant for case strategy and course planning.
| Measure | Funding / Detail | Who is affected |
|---|---|---|
| Modernisation of Trades Recognition Australia (TRA) | $75.1m over four years | Trades workers in priority trades, especially electricians and plumbers |
| New onshore skills assessment program | $5.6m over three years | Onshore visa holders seeking recognition of existing qualifications, trade skills and work experience |
| Oversight of assessing authorities | $4.5m over four years | All applicants using skills assessing authorities for skilled visas |
| Skills Migration Commissioner consultation | Consultation only | Stakeholders in skilled migration policy and labour market planning |
| National Credit Recognition Framework | Framework development | Students with VET qualifications transitioning into higher education |
TRA pilots for priority trades
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The 2026–27 Budget keeps the permanent Migration Program steady at 185,000 places while reshaping who can access those places and how quickly their skills are recognised.
Protection visa system, Working Holiday reforms and border security
Beyond skilled migration, the Budget targets integrity and community safety. Several measures focus on the protection visa system, Working Holiday Maker (WHM) program settings, and enhanced border and migration law powers related to extremism and hate.
- A **$3.9m pilot** titled “Addressing Misuse of the Protection Visa System” will fund migration duty lawyers to provide pre‑filing legal assistance before judicial review applications in protection visa matters.
- WHM reforms include expanded use of **visa ballots** to better manage visa numbers, reduce barriers to work, improve fairness and support national interests (operational details are yet to be released).
- The Australian Border Force receives an extra **$270m in 2026–27** to strengthen border and enforcement capabilities.
Measures include new visa refusal grounds, new visa cancellation powers, expanded character test provisions and additional training for immigration and visa officers.
These measures are linked to the Combatting Antisemitism, Hate and Extremism (Criminal and Migration Laws) Act 2026, along with a new prohibited hate group listing framework and funding for the Commonwealth Community Safety Order Scheme. Under that scheme, the Minister may apply for supervision or detention orders for certain non‑citizens considered to pose a risk of harm to the community.
Lowest since September 2025. That’s the tone the NOM forecasts set, with projections falling to 245,000 and then 225,000. Our analysis of these settings indicates a policy mix that keeps permanent places stable while adjusting source, timing and risk controls rather than headline program size.
Adult Migrant English Program, trafficking support and worker protections
Language, safety and workplace rights receive targeted attention. A new Adult Migrant English Program (AMEP) model is proposed to commence from 1 January 2029, with new eligibility settings, more targeted support, flexible tuition delivery and additional student support services to improve English, employment and social cohesion outcomes.
| Program | Timeframe / Funding | Key supports |
|---|---|---|
| Adult Migrant English Program (AMEP) reforms | New model from 1 Jan 2029 | New eligibility, targeted support, flexible tuition, extra student services |
| Support for Trafficked People Program – ARP | Extended to 30 Jun 2027 | Legal assistance, migration advice, financial support, medical treatment, safe accommodation |
| Protecting Migrant Workers Grants Program | $27m over two years from 2026–27 | Information and education on workplace rights, employer obligations, protections and migration‑related compliance |
Support for trafficked people – no law enforcement requirement
The Budget also confirms a new immigration detention centre services contract with Secure Journeys Pty Ltd, reinforcing the broader enforcement and detention framework. For some readers this may raise case‑management questions. For others, it underlines the Government’s twin focus on integrity and protection of vulnerable migrants.
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How can different stakeholders respond to the Budget when some measures are detailed and others are only flagged for future reform? The data suggests a mix of immediate operational impacts and medium‑term structural changes still being designed.
- 01Monitor official updates on the **points test optimisation**, as the Budget text confirms intent but does not publish new point values, age thresholds or occupation priorities.
- 02Track implementation of the **TRA modernisation** and onshore skills assessment program, especially for electricians, plumbers and other trades where licensing pilots are proposed.
- 03For Working Holiday Maker clients and partners, watch for further detail on **visa ballot expansion** and any operational rules that may affect timing or access.
- 04Education providers may wish to consider how the **National Credit Recognition Framework** and future AMEP model could influence course design, recognition of prior learning and support services.
- 05Employers and worker advocates can align workplace education initiatives with the extended **Protecting Migrant Workers – Information and Education Grants Program** from 2026–27.
Use data, not guesswork
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute migration advice. Always consult a MARA-registered migration agent for advice specific to your circumstances.
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